The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits in the two months since the coronavirus took hold in the U.S. has swelled to nearly 39 million, the government reported Thursday, even as states from coast to coast gradually reopen their economies and let people go back to work.
More than 2.4 million people filed for jobless aid last week in the latest wave of layoffs from the outbreak that has triggered nationwide business shutdowns and brought the economy to its knees, the Labor Department said. That brings the running total to a staggering 38.6 million, a job-market collapse unprecedented in its speed.
The number of weekly applications has slowed for seven straight weeks, and last week the figures declined in 38 states and the District of Columbia. Yet they remain immense — roughly 10 times the typical figure before the crisis struck.
And the continuing rise shows that even though all states have slowly begun reopening, the outbreak is still doing damage to businesses and destroying jobs.
"While the steady decline in claims is good news, the labor market is still in terrible shape," said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said over the weekend that the unemployment rate could peak in May or June at 20% to 25% — a level unseen since the depths of the Great Depression.
As of April, unemployment stood at 14.7%, a figure also unmatched since the 1930s. And the true rate is even higher, because millions of Americans weren't officially counted as unemployed since they weren't looking for a new job, presumably because nearly everything was shut down anyway.
Over 5 million people worldwide have been confirmed infected, and about 330,000 deaths have been recorded, including more than 93,000 in the U.S. and around 165,000 in Europe, according to a tally kept by Johns Hopkins University and based on government data. Experts believe the true toll is significantly higher.
Across the U.S., some companies have begun to rehire their laid-off employees as states have eased restrictions on movement and commerce. Last week, the three major U.S. automakers, plus Toyota and Honda, recalled roughly 130,000 of their factory employees for the first time in two months.
Still, major employers continue to cut jobs. Uber said this week that it will lay off 3,000 more employees because demand for rides has plummeted. Digital publishers Vice, Quartz and BuzzFeed, magazine giant Conde Nast and the owner of The Economist magazine announced job cuts last week.
Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont, said the most recent layoffs may be particularly worrisome because they are happening even as states are reopening. That could mean many companies have little hope of a substantial economic recovery anytime soon and still feel a need to cut jobs.
"There's a high probability that those layoffs could persist for longer than those that were a function of (businesses) just being closed," Stanley said.
The latest figures do not mean 38.6 million people are now out of work. Some have been called back in recent weeks, and others have landed new jobs. But the vast majority are still unemployed.
One rehired worker, Norman Boughman, received an email last week from his boss at a second-hand clothing store in Richmond, Virginia, where he worked part time, asking him to return. But even while wearing a mask, he worries about his health.
"We're having to sort through people's things, and I feel like that puts us at a higher risk," he said.
Meanwhile, doubts are growing over ambitious plans by European governments to use contact-tracing smartphone apps to fight the spread of the virus as they ease their lockdowns. The apps can help authorities determine whether people have crossed paths with those who are infected.
British Security Minister James Brokenshire told the BBC that an app that was supposed to be introduced by mid-May is not ready, and he suggested "technical issues" were to blame. Similarly, France delayed last week's roll-out of its app because of technical problems and privacy concerns.
Italian Premier Giuseppe Conte said his country's app will begin testing in the coming days, and Spain plans to try out its technology at the end of June in the Canary Islands.
As for the search for a vaccine, drug maker AstraZeneca said it has secured agreements to produce 400 million doses of a still experimental and unproven vaccine that is being tested at the University of Oxford. It is one of the most advanced projects in the international race for a vaccine.
While no vaccine has yet been proven to work against the virus, companies and governments are already working to crank out some of the more promising candidates in hopes of saving time. It is a big gamble that could result in millions of doses being thrown out if the candidate ultimately fails.
AstraZeneca said it has received more than $1 billion from a U.S. government research agency for the development, production and delivery of the vaccine.
Around the world, the effort to get back to business is raising worries over the risk of new infections, from hard-hit Milan, Italy, to meatpacking plants in Colorado and garment factories in Bangladesh.
In China, the communist leadership took extensive precautions as it prepared for the opening of its long-postponed National People's Congress on Friday in Beijing. An outbreak there could be a public relations nightmare as President Xi Jinping showcases China's apparent success in curbing the virus that first emerged in Wuhan late last year.
