Coup-hit Myanmar's bloody crisis will take centre stage at a Southeast Asian summit Tuesday that the country's junta chief has been barred from attending, as international pressure mounts on the military regime.
The virtual gathering kicks off three days of meetings hosted by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with US President Joe Biden and Chinese and Russian leaders set to attend later in the week.
Myanmar will top the agenda of Tuesday's talks between regional leaders, with the country still in chaos following February's military takeover and subsequent deadly crackdown on dissent.
Facing calls to defuse the crisis, ASEAN, which includes Myanmar, has drawn up a roadmap aimed at restoring peace but there have been doubts over the junta's commitment to the plan.
Its refusal to let a special envoy meet ousted civilian leader Aung San Suu Kyi prompted the bloc last week to exclude junta chief Min Aung Hlaing -- who seized power in the coup -- from this week's summits.
The coup snuffed out Myanmar's short-lived experiment with democracy, with Nobel laureate Suu Kyi now facing a raft of charges in a junta court that could see her jailed for decades.
Min Aung Hlaing's exclusion was an unprecedented snub from an organisation often criticised for being toothless, and was slammed by the junta as a breach of the bloc's policy of non-interference in member states' affairs.
The 10-member grouping has invited Chan Aye, director-general of the junta-appointed foreign affairs ministry, in the chief's place -- although it was not clear whether the regime would allow him to attend.
'ASEAN DIVIDED'
Aaron Connelly, a Southeast Asia expert from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said the decision to bar the junta chief was "tremendously significant".
"It is the most significant sanction that ASEAN has ever handed to a member state, and it is in direct response to the non-compliance that we have seen from the (junta)," he told a panel discussion Monday.
But observers think it unlikely the bloc would go further, such as by suspending Myanmar, and see little chance of decisions at this week's meetings that could prompt a change of course from the junta.
"ASEAN is divided over the issue of Myanmar... There'll unlikely be any real progress," a Southeast Asian diplomat, speaking anonymously, told AFP.
While member states including Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia have pushed for the bloc to take action in response to the takeover, others with more authoritarian governments have been less vocal.
Other issues likely to be discussed include the South China Sea -- where Beijing and several Southeast Asian countries have overlapping claims -- and the coronavirus pandemic, as much of the region emerges from an outbreak.
This year's meetings are hosted by Brunei and are taking place online due to virus-related travel difficulties.
After the Southeast Asian leaders hold talks Tuesday, they will be joined for an expanded summit Wednesday, expected to include Biden and leaders from the wider region.
